Risk calculators may overestimate heart attack risk


New York, Feb 17 (IANS): Most "risk calculators" used to gauge a patient's chances of suffering a heart attack significantly overestimate the likelihood of a heart attack, warns a study.

Four out of five widely used clinical calculators considerably overrate risk, including the most recent one unveiled in 2013 by the American Heart Association and the American College of Cardiology, as per the findings.

Physicians commonly use standardized risk assessment systems, or algorithms, to decide whether someone needs care with daily aspirin and cholesterol-lowering drugs or just watchful waiting and follow-up exams.

These algorithms calculate heart attack probability using a combination of factors, such as gender, age, smoking history, cholesterol levels, blood pressure and diabetes among others.

"Our results reveal a lack of predictive accuracy in risk calculators and highlight an urgent need to re-examine and fine-tune our existing risk assessment techniques," said senior investigator Michael Blaha from Johns Hopkins University.

For the study, the researchers followed 4,200 participants, ages 50 to 74, for over a decade.

The findings underscore the perils of over-reliance on standardised algorithms and highlight the importance of individualised risk assessment that includes additional variables, such as other medical conditions, family history of early heart disease, level of physical activity, its presence and amount of calcium buildup in the heart's vessels, the researchers said.

The study appeared in the Annals of Internal Medicine.

  

Top Stories


Leave a Comment

Title: Risk calculators may overestimate heart attack risk



You have 2000 characters left.

Disclaimer:

Please write your correct name and email address. Kindly do not post any personal, abusive, defamatory, infringing, obscene, indecent, discriminatory or unlawful or similar comments. Daijiworld.com will not be responsible for any defamatory message posted under this article.

Please note that sending false messages to insult, defame, intimidate, mislead or deceive people or to intentionally cause public disorder is punishable under law. It is obligatory on Daijiworld to provide the IP address and other details of senders of such comments, to the authority concerned upon request.

Hence, sending offensive comments using daijiworld will be purely at your own risk, and in no way will Daijiworld.com be held responsible.