Daijiworld Media Network – Mangaluru

Mangaluru, Oct 9: The southwest monsoon performed well in the coastal belt this year, and now the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast that the northeast monsoon too will bring good rainfall to the region — a development that comes as welcome news for farmers.

Although the southwest monsoon officially ended by late September, intermittent rains have continued across the coast. Typically, the northeast monsoon begins in the second week of October. Meteorologists note that the intensity of the northeast showers often depends on the performance of the southwest monsoon, and since the latter was favourable this year, similar conditions are expected for the months ahead. However, a drop in temperature could slightly affect rainfall levels.

The coastal region, known for its widespread areca nut cultivation, is expected to benefit from the upcoming rains with improved crop yields. This year, the monsoon arrived early, around late May, weakened briefly, and later revived to bring normal rains to the region.

Weather experts add that cyclonic systems also play a crucial role in boosting post-monsoon rainfall. Last year, a low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal during early November led to heavy rains, followed by the ‘Fengal’ cyclone in December that brought intense showers.

Over the past two years, the coastal districts have recorded above-average rainfall — 6% higher in 2023 and 51% higher in 2024. As of now, a week into the northeast monsoon, Dakshina Kannada has reported a 65% rainfall deficit and Udupi district a 48% deficit.

“Although the southwest monsoon has formally withdrawn, the system is yet to completely clear out. The northeast monsoon is expected to begin soon, and good rainfall is likely this season,” said C S Patil, an official from the Indian Meteorological Department.