Travellers from Dubai, UK main Covid sources to India: IIT Study


New Delhi, Sep 27 (IANS): Travellers from Dubai and Britain played a crucial role in spreading Covid-19 in the early phase and were the primary sources of the importations of the disease into India, said a study by the researchers at Indian Institute of Technology, Mandi (IIT-Mandi).

In this study, the research team used the travel history of infected patients from January 30 to April 6 as the primary data source and a social network was created depicting the spread in the early phase of the pandemic.

The research, published in the Journal of Travel Medicine, was conducted by Sarita Azad, Assistant Professor, School of Basic Sciences at IIT Mandi, along with her student Sushma Devi.

"When a pandemic like Covid-19 subsides, a good research work serves as a record for the future," Azad said in a statement.

"In this work, we have used real time data and demonstrated how the disease got diffused from the global to national level from January 30 to Apri 6, 2020. This will be an important contribution to understanding the disease transmission in India during the early phase of the pandemic," she added.

The research showed that Covid-19 got induced into Indian states mainly due to international travels with the very first patient travelling from Wuhan in China where the outbreak of the disease was first reported.

After that, the contacts of positive cases were located, and a significant spread was identified in states like Gujarat, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Kerala, and Karnataka.

For the study, a total of 1,386 cases were assessed, of which 373 were international and 1,013 were national contacts.

A significant increase in confirmed cases was reported in states like Tamil Nadu, Delhi, and Andhra Pradesh during the first phase of the nationwide lockdown, which spanned from March 25 to April 14.

In this analysis, the metrics of social contacts revealed that in the initial transmission phase, local connections were established mainly from countries such as Dubai and the UK.

In the wake of 88,650 more coronavirus cases, India's total tally on Sunday neared the 60-lakh mark.

Of the total 59,92,532 cases, 9,56,402 are still active. As many as 49,41,627 patients were cured and discharged, whereas 94,503 succumbed to the viral disease.

About 75 per cent of the new cases were from 10 states and Uts.

  

Comment on this article

  • k b r, Mangala Uru

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    blaming others is natural response... this erases other faults...

    DisAgree Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    Earlier some Politicians were blaming Tablighi Jamaat ...

    DisAgree [7] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    Also Namaste Trump swept under the carpet.

    DisAgree [5] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Concerned citizen, Mangaluru

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    Those who made false propaganda against Tablighi jamath are accountable for action.

    DisAgree [8] Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sachidananda Shetty, Mundkur/Dubai

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    Fortunately.... that menace is over but new topic started

    But in Dubai.... people says..... Indians are bring positive cased to UAE!!!

    But all together even in Christmas period too... our vacation to India is not possible I believe!!!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sma, Bengaluru

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    No punishment to media mongers..... We make mockery of others and move on.
    This is our culture and DNA... Thanks

    DisAgree Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • MIA, Udupi

    Sun, Sep 27 2020

    rather than blaming we could have got better preparedness to mitigate risk.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • John, Mangalore

    Sun, Sep 27 2020

    Jesus on deep state (left leaning democrat elites) and chinese connection in virus spread in a message to John Leary dated Saturday, May 9, 2020
    ...
    Jesus said: “My people, it is definitely unusual to see snow showers in the middle of May as you are setting all kinds of records for cold at this time of year. As you look at this polar vortex over the Northeast, you can contrast this with unusual heat in California. Such drastic changes in temperature can be created by the HAARP machine in changing the jet stream currents that bring your weather. This machine can be controlled by the deep state people. These people are the same evil people who gave China the money and know how to produce this current corona virus pandemic. Then the Chinese purposely sent infected people to all corners of the earth to spread this virus. It is the plan of the devil and the elite to try and reduce the earth’s population using the spread of this evil virus, even spreading it in your chemtrails. An even deadlier corona virus will be spread in the fall with the intention to bring about a martial law that would give the deep state an opportunity to kill more people and give the evil ones more dictatorial power over your people. There is also a plan to use mandatory vaccines to weaken people’s immune systems and even kill people with the new virus. So do not take any vaccines for any reason. I will bring My faithful to My refuges when your lives are threatened. You could also see My Warning and a call to come to My refuges in the fall so My faithful are not killed. The martial law will give your leaders an opportunity for total control over your people so they can give you over to the Antichrist to start the Great Tribulation. Be prepared to come to My refuges when I call My faithful.”

    DisAgree [14] Agree [11] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    John, Mangalore
    Jesus Ka Naam Badnaam Na Karo ...

    DisAgree [10] Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • Krish, Udupi

    Mon, Sep 28 2020

    vacciene aaya tho mat lelo...

    DisAgree Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse


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