Property prices likely to remain stable for next 6 mths:Survey


Mumbai, Oct 30 (PTI): Even as the overall sentiment in the real estate sector has improved, buyers feel property prices across top 10 cities are likely to remain stable for the next six months, according to a recent survey.

The Housing Sentiment Index (HSI) assessed by IIM Bangalore and real estate portal Magicbricks home buyers across 10 cities -- Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Delhi, Gurgaon, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, Noida and Pune -- suggests that real estate prices are likely to remain stable over the next six months.

The aggregate HSI measured across the cities dropped marginally by four per cent during July-September quarter to 114 compared to April-June period, indicating property prices would remain static.

"The Indian real estate consumer is still in the wait and watch mode. While there is active interest in the market, evinced by the time spent by consumers on Magicbricks searching for houses, the consumer still expects prices to hold for at least six months and is willing to wait to buy," Magicbricks Business Head Sudhir Pai said.

As per the survey, sentiment in Ahmedabad soared by 30 per cent and can be attributed to the progressive policies and intelligent governance that led to mushrooming of various industries, the report said.

"The fact that the current reform-focused Prime Minister Narendra Modi hails from Ahmedabad has assisted in the heightened positive atmosphere in the city," Pai said.

Pune was the only city beside Ahmedabad to register higher sentiments this quarter, while Hyderabad posted an HSI of 104, a drop of 12 per cent as compared to the previous quarter. Bangalore, however, registered a drop in sentiments.

"Although all cities posted positive sentiments, consumers expect prices to remain stable or rise marginally. With the economy expected to perform better, effective policies in the housing sector will ensure that positive sentiments translate into actual purchase," IIMB-Century Real Estate Research Initiative (CRERI) lead researcher Uma Sitaraman said.

  

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Comment on this article

  • Rudolf Rodrigues, Mumbai

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    There is immense oversupply in a city like Mangluru, looks like around 70% of those who have bought property is for investment and not end use!! Just heard about a deal near Kulshekara where a flat which was fetching 61 lacs just a year and a half ago went abegging for 51 with the 'dalals' (brokers) eating 3 lacs surreptitiously in the deal, such is the state of affairs commercial real estate is abegging!!

    Only black money acquired through illegal means and some amount of NRI money is sustaining this, just waiting to go bust!!!!

    DisAgree Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • Henry James, Mangalore

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    Real estate prices are determined by greed because of lax monetary and fiscal policies. The lawmakers, corporate houses and the media are in bed with each other, cornering this market. And these snake oil merchants from IIM are trying to piss into people's ears and trying to convince them it's raining outside. All that is happening around us is the exploiting the basic human necessity that is housing.

    But you can only manipulate along the trend for so long but can never against it. Interesting times ahead.

    DisAgree Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    Agree with you wholeheartedly Henry James, Mangalore. There's lot of black money pumped into real estate making the greedy who can afford to wait for the prices to touch the sky greedier and forcing the needy to get more and more miserable.

    DisAgree Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ravi B Shenava, Mangalore

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    In Mangalore the real estate prices are nose diving.
    The sentiments of NRIs and Mumbai investors has deteriorated as far as Mangalore city is concerned. Once the prices in Mangalore was equal to Bangalore. But now Bangalore prices are stable but Mangalore prices are unstable and lot of bargaining is possible.

    DisAgree Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Valerian Dsouza, Udupi / Mumbai

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    Property prices movement is very unpredictable.
    Construction cost and taxes such as VAT, Service Tax stamp duty are all have increased.
    However, real estate stock held by developers is not getting liquidated.
    Stocks are mainly held by investors and black money holders.
    Few well off individuals are also having 2 houses. If there is no appreciation, holding expenses will hit them hard. If there is alternative avenue to invest, real estate will crash. Rent earning are not even 25% of interest amount of sale value, if the property is sold out. How can real estate rates will sustain?

    DisAgree [1] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    Market prices are determined by demand and supply and demand in this case of onions is decided by need but in case of real estate it's greed.

    DisAgree Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • Henry James, Mangalore

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    If wishes were horses....

    if only market worked on the people's prejudiced sentiments. If this theory is right, then you can coerce every citizen of the country to "wish" for onion prices to come down to Rs5/kg. Will that happen?

    This world is filled with semi-skilled, spivvy charlatans.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [5] Reply Report Abuse

  • vellano1, Mumbai

    Thu, Oct 30 2014

    I doubt this report.. I am of the opinion that, Rela estate market needs a correction and this will crash for sure, in net 1 year.. watch out! prices are going to fall, so that more can buy it! people r waiting though, for the bank rates to go down.. cos its very atrocious to pay 10-12% interest on a large loan of 20-30 lakhs..!

    infact a theory doing rounds is, its wise to invest in Mutual funds and shares and live in a rented house, rather than, investing in a real eastate and paying atrocious EMIs.. the yield will be more in first case too!

    I go to lot of lodha properties in and around mumbai and see lot of unsold flats..! last few years, the market, recession, job insecurity has seen a decline in registration.. also diwali and festival offers also were not exciting and not much sale happened..!

    "economic/NANO houses is the key... low budget housing should be way forward- with middle class ventures out to invest".. lets see how future holds....! I am optimistic though :)

    DisAgree [3] Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse


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