Rajan's exit 'bad omen' for Indian economy, reputation abroad:Experts


New Delhi, Jun 19 (PTI) : Calling RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan's exit a 'bad omen' for the Indian economy, eminent economists and former policymakers today said it will be seen by the world as India's non-approval to a policy against inflation and bad loans.

Rajan's colleague at Chicago University Booth School of Business Luigi Zingales termed it is a "huge loss for India", while Harvard University professor Gita Gopinath said it was "deeply disappointing" that the government instead of fighting hard to keep Rajan has let him go amid all the distasteful comments by those questioning his commitment to India's best interests.

Indian-origin economist and British Labour Party leader Meghnad Desai said he feels "sorry for India's reputation abroad", while World Bank's Chief Economist and India's former Chief Economic Advisor Kaushik Basu said Rajan has been one of the finest central bank governors anywhere.

53-year old Rajan, a former IMF Chief Economist with a reputation to have rightly called the 2008 global financial crisis, yesterday made public his decision against a second term as RBI Governor after his currently three-year tenure ends on September 4, 2016.

Rajan, the on-leave Professor of Finance at Chicago Booth School, said he would return to academia but would be ready to serve India again in future.

Rajan indicated he was willing to take a shot at a second term, saying he was "open to seeing" through his unfinished work on containing inflation and cleaning up the books of bank, but said no to a second term "on due reflection, and after consultation with the government".

This is being seen in some quarters as his unhappiness over the way things have developed in recent months with regard to a barrage of personal attacks on him from some quarters and the government reaction to that.

Echoing the sentiments of various top industry leaders from India, who termed Rajan's exit as 'nation's loss', the economists from abroad and the former policymakers back home said it can prove to be "very costly" for Indian economy.

Gopinath told PTI history will judge Rajan as one of the most effective central bankers of not just India but of the world".

"This is a very sad day for the Indian economy and it is deeply disappointing that the government instead of fighting hard to keep Rajan has let him go amidst all the distasteful comments including those that question his performance and his commitment to India's best interest," Gopinath, John Zwaanstra Professor of International Studies and of Economics, told PTI.

Desai said it is a pity that Rajan decided to go and the task of his successor, whoever he or she is, will be very difficult.

"I am not surprised but sorry for India's reputation abroad. He was criticised for doing what a central banker has to do. It will be seen by the world at large that an anti- inflation policy, a policy of cleaning up non-performing assets of banks and being tough on banks' balance sheets are not policies which meet with approval in India," Desai told PTI.

Former Finance Secretary Arvind Mayaram also expressed his disappointment and said Raghuram Rajan's decision not to seek a second term would be very costly for the economy.

"Raghuram Rajan's decision not to seek second term would be very costly for the economy. Not a good omen," Mayaram tweeted.

Zingales, who recently wrote that Rajan was being attacked for fighting the inefficiencies of the banking system and taking on the crony capitalists in the country, tweeted, "Rajan leaves RBI to come back to Booth. A great gain for us, a huge loss for India".

Zingales, who has also been Rajan's co-author, recently wrote in an article that the governorship in India earlier used to be "entrusted to grey bureaucrats that left no impact".

"Rajan, however, is the dream of the new India: young, competent, and reached the top of the Indian central bank because of his skill, not because of his political alignment," he had said.

Nobel laureate Amartya Sen had said yesterday that India was losing one of the most skillful economic thinkers in the world.

"We are losing one of the most skillful financial economic thinkers in the world. It is sad for the country and it is sad for the government of the country too. RBI is not a completely autonomous institution," he said in a TV interview.

Noting that he is not a great admirer of the Modi government, the economist said the administration may have to decide what it wants in its policy.

 

  

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Comment on this article

  • MICHAEL NORONHA, Mysore

    Mon, Jun 20 2016

    The manner in which few loose canons of the BJP were allowed by the PM without any reprimand to speak ill of the RBI Governor gave enough signal that the Government is now aiming at meddling with the functioning of the RBI and harm the Indian economy. With Rajan's exit "India is the Loser".

    DisAgree [2] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Alwyn Crasta, Mangalore/Bangalore

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    The exit of Rajan on the basis of a probably planned "image-tarnishing exercise" by his detractors in the Union Government, may prove to be too costly to the NDA Govt. in the future.

    In any case, the image of the Union Government as a positive, non-interfering, performing Govt. has taken a very severe blow. There seems to be no place and no scope for a free-thinking, world-famous professional economist, in India's politician-dominated mindset.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • vivek, hirebyle/ Abu dhabi

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Rajan is very strict!!....But his stubbornness towards not reducing Interest rate on Home loan... and Reality owners Greediness not to Lower the Property Price ...cost people who want to buy property is like stuck between scissor...this even made reality Business group to Lobby through Subramanya swami to talk high against him!!

    DisAgree [5] Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.A.

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Let the new RBI Governor may reduce the interest rate to 4%, so that the consumers can borrow billions of Rs for buying houses-cars-trips-gold etc and let them default at this slowing down economy which can create serious recession in the nation. Then the interest rate will be forced to to 2%. Modiji as promised through his ornate economic rhetoric in creating millions of jobs is not fulfilling that will be the key player in the economic prosperity, not in the interest rate reduction.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • ca girishkk, m'lore/dxb

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Long term object of the govt is to ensure privatization of public sector banks to benefit crony capitalists, which was prevented by respectful & dearly beloved no nonsense governor of RBI Shriman Rajan.

    Let us wait & see what happens in the days ahead.
    PSU banks are heavily suffer from poor quality advances (approximately more than 5 lac crores)
    Now i am very sure & can safely say that BJP lead NDA has no intention to continue ruling Hindustan post 2019.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [15] Reply Report Abuse

  • PRAVEEN, MANGALORE

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Soon 1 $ will be RS 80 ..
    acche deen for Beef Exporters..:)

    DisAgree [5] Agree [13] Reply Report Abuse

  • Navin Shetty, Manipal/ Bahrain

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Oh lord, save India. Exit of Rajan is the worst thing happening to India since Independence.

    He was a messiah, who can save Indian economic from getting screwed up. What a magical things he has done in his tenure as Governor of The Reserve bank.

    DisAgree [4] Agree [19] Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.A.

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Dont' be in a rush to know the end result.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [12] Reply Report Abuse

  • Neeth, mangalore

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    But we have better thing happening to nullify this bad omen: Congress's exit from India

    DisAgree [16] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.A.

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    That is the primary goal of the BJP, but the final outcome when the economy is in a mess will be something else.

    DisAgree [1] Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • Dev Kumar, Belthangady/Chandigarh

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    We are not believing in bad omen.
    We look forward for good omen when patel taken over the position.

    DisAgree [12] Agree [7] Reply Report Abuse

  • sri, Karkala

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Who are these experts? Congress agents? He was not suspended from job... His contract will expire in September. Government has every right to go for new phase...
    Whoever may be the governor India will grow only because of its 1 billion quality people and not by single person just by printing currency... Grow up guys..

    DisAgree [15] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Praveen, Udupi

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Modi takes the credit for the good works done by Rajan. See the blood bath in currency and banking stocks tomorrow. The Indian economy was put on track by Dr Manmohan Singh, PChidambaram and Dr Rajan and not Chaiwala. Now any upward movement in Crude from here onwards will tear the Indian Economy. Hate mongers and fake nationalists are part and parcel of BJP while sincere and good people who are Indians at heart do not deserve any place in India. Modis Fekuism will pay a heavy price as I see Indian economy to be out of track soon. All big bhashans made with the help of telepromptor will remain as bhashans only and nothing will materalise. Foreign Investors will stay away from India till this Govt. is given a gatepass.

    DisAgree [5] Agree [17] Reply Report Abuse

  • tony sequeira, mangalore

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    The BJP and the Modi Govt should appoint Subramanian Swamy as the reserve Bank Governor. Credit for Rajans exit should go to him.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [11] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Nashville

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Rajan did not allow FAKE numbers ...

    DisAgree [3] Agree [17] Reply Report Abuse

  • V V , BAJPE/BAHRAIN

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    BAD OMEN FOR INDIAN ECONOMY
    GOOD OMEN FOR SUBRAMANIYAM SWAMY

    DisAgree [1] Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ramesh S, mangalore

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    ..there is only one ROCKSTAR now in INDIA, you know who..experts say so many thing..so many things said about MODI also before election..MODI repositioned INDIA in world map, we are inching towards NSG members..Rajans will come & go..Hundred eligible people are in que..

    DisAgree [40] Agree [12] Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.A.

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Modiji, the only rocket star of India, took India to the outer space the second Winston Churchill and John Maynard Keynes of history.
    History will prove that.

    DisAgree [7] Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse

  • Roshan, Mangaluru

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    With Anupam Kher, with experience managing billions of rupees in movies, has got more experience than Rajan. So, there is no dearth of talent in BJP for such a role.

    Well, by the time Feku bhakts will wake up India will be back to 1947. Majority of Indians are realizing it now and surely show BJP its place in coming days. Till now something or other was working in BJP favor, now it is crystal clear for every educated Indian, with some love for India.

    DisAgree [11] Agree [32] Reply Report Abuse

  • jeevan, mangalore

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Rajan is a Congi stooge ....
    Sachin gaya tho ..
    virat kholi aga ya..

    DisAgree [48] Agree [12] Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.A.

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Jeevanji: are you concerned with progress and prosperity of the nation, or simply the political supremacy of your deity kingdom called " BJP Government".

    The U.S. is nothing for you and your comrades, but your deity is looking for every opportunity to fly to the U.S.

    The U.S. Senate, the Upper House has declined the "global strategic and defense partnership with India as anticipated". No 1 blow.

    The U.N. warned India for her ruthless and surprising hidden act of stopping the funding of hundreds of NGOs in India, and many of them are mainly concentrated in wiping the tears of the crying poor people of India.
    Indeed, your high class and caste party is trying to wipe off the
    poorest people of India. Please remember, one plateful of meal is very important for the hungry person than God or Ram Mandir. Do you agree with the Government's fund cutting of the NGOs in India?
    Slap no 2 from the international community.

    No 3 will be hitting through Dr. Rajan's exit economically.

    DisAgree [6] Agree [17] Reply Report Abuse

  • stan, dubai

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Why you are teaching him World economics???? It is like you are playing flute in front of donkey.

    DisAgree [1] Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.A.

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Already the U.S. media has put the news which shows the exit of Dr. Rajan will be affecting the Indian economy another international slapping on the aachi din promise.

    DisAgree [10] Agree [43] Reply Report Abuse

  • sri, Karkala

    Sun, Jun 19 2016

    Let US media to concentrate on its on internal matters like growing isis love and gun violence. Rajan retirement is a expected thing and internal matter for India.

    DisAgree Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse


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