In 2019, BJP tally may drop by 110 seats: Shiv Sena


Mumbai, Mar 16 (IANS): The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party's tally may drop by 100-110 seats in the next Lok Sabha polls in 2019, if the current trends and the results of the recent bypolls are an indicator, its ally Shiv Sena said in a gloomy prediction here on Friday.

"The twin wins by the Samajwadi Party in BJP bastions like Gorakhpur and Phulpur has created panic in the BJP camp even as they were busy celebrating the party's victory in a small state like Tripura last week," the Sena said in a tough edit in the party mouthpieces, 'Saamana' (Marathi) and 'Dopahar Ka Saamana' (Hindi).

Though the BJP claims that by-elections do not reflect the mood of the country, ever since Prime Minister Narendra Modi took over, the party has lost nearly nine seats in Lok Sabha by-polls, slashing its tally from 282 to around 272 - the half-way mark in the 543-strong Lower House, the editorial said.

"It was barely a year ago that the BJP won the Uttar Pradesh assembly polls, creating a record by winning 325 seats. The saffron-clad Yogi Adityanath, who has never lost the Gorakhpur seat since 1991, became the state Chief Minister. So despite the huge popularity they enjoyed, why was their citadel shattered," the Sena wondered.

It could be said that in 2014, there was a huge "wave" of popularity and water had blocked the eyes and ears of the masses, leading to (BJP's) victory, but, now the wave has receded and people can "see" everything clearly, the edit said.

The BJP is now blaming "poor voter turnout", "lack of enthusiasm" or "a deal between the Samajwadi Party with Bahujan Samaj Party" for its rout in the two critical seats in Uttar Pradesh.

"Since 2014, how many deals has the BJP entered into for power... What about Naresh Agrawal, who was inducted in BJP with such fanfare? In Tripura, the BJP could win only after the entire Congress and Trinamool Congress 'merged' with it" the Sena pointed out.

Referring to the polls, the Sena said the SP candidates secured big margins in both Gorakhpur and Phulpur, indicating that the people went out of the way to defeat the BJP in both seats which were won with huge margins of two-three lakh votes in 2014.

On the winning spree of the Rashtriya Janata Dal in Bihar's Jehanabad and Araria, the Sena said some BJP leaders were living in a fool's paradise as they attributed it to "a sympathy wave" for the jailed RJD President Lalu Prasad Yadav.

"Lalu is in jail for corruption... and that could be a politics of vendetta. Despite that if he can get 'sympathy', then it's a big blow to both Nitish Kumar and Modi... The outcome has thrown down the BJP from the sky to the ground," the Sena said.

"Amidst all this, it is clear now, that in 2019, the BJP's numbers will not be 280, but it will plummet by at least 100-110 seats. The elections are not being fought in Russia, America, Canada, France or Israel, but in India. So they (BJP) should keep their feet on the ground here," the Sena warned.

  

Top Stories

Comment on this article

  • Vincent Rodrigues, Bengaluru/Katapadi

    Sat, Mar 17 2018

    BJP cannot take lightly the deteriorating popularity of the party

    DisAgree Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • SMR, Karkala

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    The BJP’s current strength in the Lok Sabha is 275, wherein it needs 272 MPs for a simple majority in the House.The party had won 282 seats in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, but since then it has lost seven seats in the bypolls bringing its majority to just 275.
    There are two extremes here–one that sees a larger Modi-RSS game plan of ‘losing battles to win wars’. In this, it is believed that Modi sacrificed Gorakhpur and Phulpur to either undercut Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and Deputy Chief Minister Keshav Prasad Maurya or to deceive the opposition with a sense of pyrrhic victory.
    Still, the adventurous souls would say, that the bypoll victories were engineered to divert attention from EVM malfunction. And that a pattern of BJP losing by-elections and winning full-fledged assembly or Lok Sabha polls is becoming way too obvious.
    While the EVM issue is genuine and requires a detailed explanation, more important perhaps, is to dispel the notion about Modi as the ‘master strategist’ of Gorakhpur and Phulpur.
    Well, it is obvious that mere stitching an alliance at the top will not serve the purpose. The bypoll verdict is clearly anti-communal and anti-government in nature.
    Will the Congress rise to the occasion? Or is Modi going to come up with a new weapon to once again polarise the ‘Hindu poor’ against the Muslims? Or is UP going to see the rise of new forces with a vision and ideology suited to the state’s current needs?
    2019 cannot be fought on the old plank. BJP may not go back to Ram Mandir issue. But it might engage with Pakistan with some low level conflict easy way to get sympathy vote in anger exploiting nationalism.
    It might ask Supreme court to speed up the Ram Mandir issue in Hindu favor. The victory judgement in the case may reap some rewards.
    It might stage a terror attack like Mumbai attack ' false flag' on strategic place use the anger in its favor.
    Lastly selective terror attack on its own members to get sympathy vote.
    JaiHind

    DisAgree [1] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • vasu, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Even at 170-180 seats it will still be the largest party and will most probably rule again.

    I do not know what is the opposition celebrating

    DisAgree [9] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • j.anata, Mangaluru / Bengaluru

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Party needs to focus on K'Nataka now. Leave 2019 to 2019. Do not worry about SS. Their Ministers are still in Modi Cabinet.

    DisAgree [17] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ayes. P, kuda/ksa

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    People of ghorakpur & phulpur understood what is the difference between deleopment and cow governance and deaths of children at hospitals and least but not the last so called "achche din"
    Hatts of voters

    DisAgree [4] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jenifer, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Modi to followers : Jao aur koi bomb doodo ! Jise phodker hum public ka anukamp (sympathy) apnaayenge !

    DisAgree [7] Agree [26] Reply Report Abuse

  • krishna, mangalore

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    First of all the government has to link voter id card to AADHAR and second one is Compulsory Voting Other wise poor voting percentage in all elections polling Indians are lazy to go to booth....

    DisAgree [6] Agree [11] Reply Report Abuse

  • HENRY MISQUITH, Bahrain

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Just like what has happened now at Gorakhpur and phulpur defeats of BJP will repeat at 2019 on all India basis with out any doubts at all. BJP is only fit for temple and cow politics.

    DisAgree [6] Agree [31] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sharan, Banglore

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Keep dreaming. As long as Raul Vinchi is your PM candidate, bjp will keep winning elections!

    DisAgree [17] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • Mark Dcruz, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Pumpwel, His name is Gandhi so of Late Rahul Gandhi and Sonia Gandhi , brother of Priyanka Gandhi, Indian National.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [11] Reply Report Abuse

  • Deva, Dalantre

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Small cracks lead to big and gradually ship sinks........Dry-docking is need of hour. Jai Hind.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ashok, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    BJP needs to be less arrogant and needs to address the issues. Possibly shuffle portfolios like finance to induct more result oriented candidate. Lots of loopholes there like bank scams and also equity LTCG tax was a very bad idea rather than a STT increase which would not have spoiled the sentiments of small saving citizens who started investing in the market over the last few years. I don't care what the shiv sena says. They are not able to win majority seats in their backyard all these years. BJP have a lot of introspection to do in the next one year. No doubt, they are still ahead but politics can change things quickly.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [22] Reply Report Abuse

  • Michael, Mangalore/US

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    Some people will be very happy. No charge.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [15] Reply Report Abuse

  • L n T, Mumbai

    Fri, Mar 16 2018

    110 no chance
    70℅ well qualified Indians prefer non communal democratic secular party to rule OUR great INDIA.
    Everyone fedup with fake Bhashan n Fake Promise. That too in 4 years of fake rule.

    DisAgree [9] Agree [46] Reply Report Abuse


Leave a Comment

Title: In 2019, BJP tally may drop by 110 seats: Shiv Sena



You have 2000 characters left.

Disclaimer:

Please write your correct name and email address. Kindly do not post any personal, abusive, defamatory, infringing, obscene, indecent, discriminatory or unlawful or similar comments. Daijiworld.com will not be responsible for any defamatory message posted under this article.

Please note that sending false messages to insult, defame, intimidate, mislead or deceive people or to intentionally cause public disorder is punishable under law. It is obligatory on Daijiworld to provide the IP address and other details of senders of such comments, to the authority concerned upon request.

Hence, sending offensive comments using daijiworld will be purely at your own risk, and in no way will Daijiworld.com be held responsible.